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Daily Service Plays From The Pros
BEN BURNS
10* NY Jets/Indianapolis Colts UNDER 44.5
9* Seattle Seahawks +11
Teddy covers:
Saints / seahawks over
indianapolis colts
kentucky wildcats
Jets at Colts: What bettors need to know
New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts (-2.5, 44.5)
THE STORY: Both the Indianapolis Colts and New York Jets might have expected to see each other in the playoffs – just not this soon. It’s a rematch of last season’s AFC Championship game, which the Colts won 30-17 after erasing a 17-6 deficit. Injury-ravaged Indianapolis has taken a step backward from the juggernaut that won its first 14 games a year ago before losing to the Jets – after coach Jim Caldwell decided to pull his starters at halftime with the Colts in front. That was the only time Jets coach Rex Ryan beat Peyton Manning in six career matchups. Still, the same brashness that led Ryan to declare the Jets as Super Bowl favorites heading into last season’s playoffs hasn’t waned. Ryan vowed to get revenge and said beating Manning and the Colts this time around is “personal.”
TV: Saturday, 8 p.m. ET, NBC
LINE: Colts -2.5, O/U 44.5
The spread has fallen from a field goal to -2.5 while the total has remained steady at 44.5 points.
WEATHER: Dome
ABOUT THE COLTS (10-6, 8-7-1 ATS): The Colts were in danger of missing the playoffs before reeling off four consecutive wins, capped by last week’s 23-20 victory over that Tennessee Titans that gave them nine straight 10-win seasons. Both Indy’s receiving corps and running backs were decimated by injuries throughout the season, forcing Manning to carry an even bigger load. The strain showed at times with Manning throwing 17 interceptions – his highest total since the 2002-03 season. RB Joseph Addai returned for the final two games following a seven-week absence and Dominic Rhodes has provided a spark to the ground game since he was signed from the UFL. The Colts’ defense has not held an opponent under 20 points since Week 10.
ABOUT THE JETS (11-5, 9-7 ATS): The Jets were cruising along with a 9-2 record until absorbing a 45-3 beating by New England – starting a stretch of three losses in four games. They may have saved their season with a 22-17 victory at Pittsburgh in Week 15. QB Mark Sanchez has been bothered by a sore throwing shoulder, but made just a cameo appearance in last week’s season finale and said he’s good to go. New York has shown a propensity for falling behind away from home. The Jets were able to overcome road deficits to notch overtime wins against Cleveland and Detroit, but coming from behind against Manning will be a different story.
PLAYERS TO WATCH: For the Colts, it all starts and ends with Manning. He seems to have overcome a midseason swoon that saw him get picked off 13 times in four games, including back-to-back four-interception outings. Manning threw for 4,700 yards, becoming the third QB in league history to have consecutive 4,500-yard seasons. Pierre Garcon torched the Jets in last season’s AFC title game, sharing 11 passes for 151 yards and a TD. Tight end Jacob Tamme also has emerged as a favorite target after Dallas Clark was lost for the season. He had 67 receptions and four touchdowns. On defense, bookends Dwight Freeney (10) and Robert Mathis (21) combined for 21 sacks.
Sanchez has regressed as the season progressed. He threw at least one interception in eight of his last nine games and had a passer rating above 87.2 just once after Week 4. Unlike a year ago, the Jets arrive in Indy with some playoff-tested veterans, including RB LaDainian Tomlinson and wide receiver Santonio Holmes, the MVP of Super Bowl XLIII. Tomlinson has not surpassed 57 yards since Week 5, and the Jets need to get production from him and RB Shonn Green to keep Manning off the field. … Cornerback Antonio Cromartie could play a pivotal role, matching up against either Garcon or Reggie Wayne.
RECENT HISTORY: Indianapolis has won seven of the last 10 meetings – and one of those losses came with backups on the field.
KEY INJURIES: Jets: Questionable – DE Trevor Pryce (hip), DB James Ihedigbo (knee), DE Shaun Ellis (back); Colts: Questionable: LB Clint Session (elbow), DB Kelvin Hayden (neck), RB Mike Hart (ankle) S Al Afalava (ankle), DT Daniel Muir (chest), G Jaimie Thomas (ankle).
LAST WORD: “We are not going to Indianapolis to lose, we are going there to win. That’s our mentality and always will be. I believe in our football team. I know that’s an excellent football team we’re going to play but they’re getting our best shot. This will be a great game and as long as the Jets win, I’ll sign up for it.” – Jets coach Rex Ryan.
TRENDS:
- Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
- Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
- Jets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games.
- Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as favorites.
- Over is 4-1 in Jets’ last five playoff games.
- Under is 8-3 in Colts’ last 11 playoff games.
Don Wallace
NFL
Rotation - 101# -5UNIT* - PLAY - NEW ORLEANS -10
Rotation - 104# -5UNIT* - PLAY - INDIANAPLOIS -2
NBA
Rotation - 505# -3UNIT* - PLAY - INDIANA +7
Rotation - 507# -3UNIT* - PLAY - PHILADELPHIA -2
Rotation - 511# -3UNIT* - PLAY - MEMPHIS +7
Rotation - 516# -3UNIT* - PLAY - DALLAS +5
CAPPERS ACCESS
Kentucky Wildcats
NO Saints
NY Jets
WUNDERDOG SPORTS
8th - 9th Jan 2011 NFL Wildcard Picks
Game: New Orleans at Seattle (Saturday 1/08 4:30 PM Eastern)
5 UNIT* Pick: Seattle +450 (moneyline)
5 UNIT* Pick: Game Total OVER 44 -110
Game: New York Jets at Indianapolis (Saturday 1/08 8:05 PM Eastern)
5 UNIT* Pick: Game Total OVER 44.5 -110
Game: Baltimore at Kansas City (Sunday 1/09 1:00 PM Eastern)
5 UNIT* Pick: Kansas City +3 (-110)
5 UNIT* Pick: Game Total OVER 40.5 -110
Game: Baltimore at Kansas City (Sunday 1/09 1:05 PM Eastern)
5 UNIT* Pick: Kansas City +150 (moneyline)
Game: Green Bay at Philadelphia (Sunday 1/09 4:30 PM Eastern)
5 UNIT* Pick: Philadelphia -2.5 (-115)
5 UNIT* Pick: Game Total OVER 46 -110
BRANDON LANG
25 DIME* N.Y. Jets - Indianapolis OVER 44.5
ATS LOCK CLUB
FOOTBALL
4 UNIT* NY Jets+2.5
3 UNIT* Pittsburgh Panthers -3.5
HOOPS
2 UNIT RR PARLAY
540 8-Old Dom-4
643 8-Cal Santa Barb+2.5
548 7-Virginia T-4
616 7-Marshall+1.5
2 UNIT RR PARLAY
604 5-Fl Atlantic-3.5
Street Rosenthal
NFL
*200 Seattle Seahawks +10
CBB
*200 College of Charleston +1
CFB
*200 Pittsburgh -4
NBA - Passing
The Unfair Advantage
25 Dime Play Indianapolis Colts -2.5 (-115)
25 Dime Play Under 44.5 NYJ @ Ind
25 Dime Play Seattle Seahawks +10
25 Dime Play Over 45 NO @ Sea
KELSO
HOOPS
50 units Harvard -10 (4PM)
15 units Ok St -11.5 (1PM)
10 units Tulane -7.5 (2PM)
5 units Georgetown -6 (11AM game)
3 units UAB -5 (4PM)
BOWL GAME & PARLAY
10 units Ky +4 v. Pitt
10 units Pitt/Ky UNDER 52.5
5 units Parlay
NFL WILDCARD
15 units Saints -10 @ Seattle
NFL WILDCARD PARLAY
10 units Jets +2.5 @ Indy
10 units Jets/Colts UNDER 44.5
5 units Parlay
Maddux Sports
10 Units Seahawks
10 Units Saints / Seahawks Over
10 Units Jets / Colts Under
10 Units Packers / Eagles Over
Bob Balfe
Kentucky +3
Seattle Under 45
NY Jets +3
Trace Adams
Saturday's Selections ...
For Wild Card Saterday in the NFL, 1500♦ Opening Round Gift Lock on New Orleans minus the points on the road ovler the 7-9 Seattle Seahawks. In college basketball at noon eastirn, lay the road wood again with the North Carolina Tar Heels as they play at Virginia.
Before you start calling me "Mr. Chalk", hear me out!
The linemakers are flat-out telling you that you HAVE to lay this number on the road, as they pretty much are begging you to believe that the 7-9 division-winning Seahawks stand a chance to keep this one close.
I know New Orleans is contending with multiple injluries, but I believe in Sean Payton's coaching prowess, I beleive in Drew Brees having a field day against this defense, and I also believe in the New Orleans defense contributing to this blowout win.
My gut is telling me this could be a 28-10, or 30-10 New Orleans win and cover without blinking an eye.
Seattle's pass defense is ranked 27th in the league, so expect plenty of spread formations when the Saints have the ball. Remember, New Orleans has already handled this team once this season 34-19 at the Superdome just before Thanksgiving, and while the teams are totally different in this meeting, the philosophies should be the same for New Orleans.
When Seattle loses, they lose BIG. That 15 point loss to the Saints was the closest loss margin in their 9 losses this year. In fact their average margin of defeat was 21 points!
Matt Hasselbeck is slated to start, but this guy has been a turnovir machine, and is more than capable of giving the opportunistic Saints defense a few scoring chances via the interception.
As long as Brees limits his mistakes, this game will not be close.
Have to LAY IT all day long!
Let me take you back to January 31st, 2010. That was the date Virginia scored 18 straight points in the 2nd half of their game at the Smith Center as the Wahoos whopped it up on UNC hardwood, 75-60.
I assure you Roy Williams has reminded his team of this loss, and I assure you a road payback is in order this Saturday afternoon.
Cavaliers leading scorer and rebounder Mike Scott is dealing with an ankle injury that required arthroscopic surgery in the middle of December, and that is bad news for Tony Bennett's team.
Regardless, I am laying it with the Tar Heels as they have reeled off 3 straight wins - 2-0 against the spread - since their home upset loss to Texas before Christmas.
The Cavs are on a 3-10 spread slide their last 13 as a home underdog, and they will lose touch today against the revenge-seeking Tar Heels.
Lay it!
Craig Davis
40 DIME
NFL Playoffs
Bookie Blaster
Jets(Buy half point to +3)
20 Dime
Seahawks(Buy half point to +10.5)
Steve Budin
Colts-Jets OVER 44.5 points
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